The third wave in the Western Cape must be monitored

The reported COVID-19 infections continue on their downward trajectory for Gauteng. However, the patterns for the Western Cape and KwaZulu Natal need to be monitored. The missing week in the reported infections (due to the civil unrest) for KwaZulu Natal is clearly evident in the graph below.


The graph of reported COVID-19 hospital admissions set out below shows the trajectory of the third-wave for the Western Cape. 


Our projections for the third-wave in the Western Cape may be too optimistic as can be seen from the graph below. We will monitor the data on hospital admission for the coming week and decide whether to recalibrate the NMG model.


28 July 2021




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