Is the third wave is on its way down?

A graph of reported COVID-19 infections shows that the third wave has reached a peak in most provinces. For Gauteng and KwaZulu Natal, the reduction in reported infections will however have been impacted by the closure of health facilities in the wake of the civil unrest in these provinces.


The sharp downturn in infections in Gauteng and KwaZulu Natal is not reflected in the statistics on reported COVID-19 deaths. Reported deaths might be a better indicator for the third wave in these provinces.



The NMG model forecast for COVID-19 deaths shows that the third wave is still on an upward curve for the country as a whole. The reported deaths are tracking this forecast for now.


21 July 2021

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